Thursday, December 13, 2012

Frightful Final Week for Campaigns | Redux

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Frightful Final Week for Campaigns

Emmett F. Dwyer, 1918
Emmett F. Dwyer, 1918 by UA Archives | Upper Arlington History
License (according to Flickr): No known copyright restrictions
Excerpt:

Here’s a scary story for any pollster or political strategist on Halloween: a dead-heat presidential election with considerable flux in several swings state just six days before Election Day. But here’s the really chilling part: A massive East Coast storm has worsened the most complicated, confusing polling environment since the invention of the telephone. (Little known fact: The second sentence Alexander Graham Bell spoke into the telephone was “Mr. Watson, if the election were being held today, would you vote for Republican Rutherford Hayes or Democrat Samuel Tilden? ”) As if this closing week wasn’t enough of a phantasmagoria, there is the terrifying thought that Ohio isn’t aligning with the national polls. The current Real Clear Politics averages of polls continue to show a national lead of about 1 point for Republican Mitt Romney but also a consistent Ohio advantage for President Obama of 2. 4 points.

People:

Mitt Romney

Overall Sentiment: 0.198326

Relevance: 0.566715

Disambiguation: Politician | CompanyFounder | TVActorReferences:

President Obama

Overall Sentiment: 0.0670836

Relevance: 0.405546

Alexander Graham Bell

Overall Sentiment: -0.212043

Relevance: 0.256599

SentimentQuote
0Alexander Graham Bell spoke into the telephone was “Mr. Watson, if the election were being held today, would you vote for Republican Rutherford Hayes or Democrat Samuel Tilden?”)
Sentiment Stats:
  • Number of Quotes: 1
  • Aggregate Sentiment: 0
  • Mean: 0
  • Standard Deviation: 1.4142135623731

Charles Krauthammer

Overall Sentiment: 0.285597

Relevance: 0.231687

Samuel Tilden

Overall Sentiment: 0

Relevance: 0.224761

Al Gore

Overall Sentiment: 0.376606

Relevance: 0.210122

Disambiguation: Politician | AwardWinner | BoardMember | Celebrity | CompanyAdvisor | CompanyFounder | FilmProducer | MilitaryPerson | OfficeHolder | PoliticalAppointer | TVPersonality | U.S.Congressperson | USVicePresident | FilmActor | TVActorReferences:

Watson

Overall Sentiment: 0

Relevance: 0.202144

Chris Live

Overall Sentiment: 0

Relevance: 0.200558

Chris Stirewalt

Overall Sentiment: -0.0395076

Relevance: 0.199429

Bret Baier

Overall Sentiment: 0.265207

Relevance: 0.198293

Charles

Overall Sentiment: 0

Relevance: 0.18368

Key:

  • Aggregate Sentiment is meant to be an indicator of an individual's overall sentiment.
  • The Mean is meant to be an indicator of an individual's average comment sentiment.
  • The Standard Deviation, when there are enough quotes, will indicate an individual's consistency of sentiment (i.e. a Standard Deviation of 0 would mean they were very consistent in their sentiment and 1 would mean they were very inconsistent).

Note that quote stats are likely to be meaningless beyond the aggregate score due to the tiny sample size. However, they are always provided just in case you find something useful there.

Additional Info:

StateOrCounty: Ohio

Overall Sentiment: 0.0194125

Relevance: 0.919897

Disambiguation: Location | PoliticalDistrict | AdministrativeDivision | GovernmentalJurisdiction | USStateReferences:
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