Voters To Settle Tight And Turbulent Presidential Battle
As Americans go to the polls, one of the closest presidential races in years may be determined by a state in the Midwest and a hurricane named Sandy. After a campaign that has cost some $6 billion, the two candidates are in the same place they started: with President Obama a smidgen ahead of challenger Mitt Romney, so close that differences are in most cases statistically insignificant. Obama seems to have regained his footing after his sleepy performance in the first debate last month. According to a Pew Research Center poll over the weekend, Obama is leading Romney 48 percent to 45 percent among likely voters, thanks in part to how he handled the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy. In battleground states, too, the president appears to have the momentum. Supporters attend a Mitt Romney rally Monday in Columbus, Ohio. "People are conflicted, especially swing voters and moderate voters," Kohut says.
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Obama electoral vote percentage points President Obama battleground states Mitt Romney the president popular vote presidential race vice president Vice President Joe Biden Ohio electoral college votes New Jersey New York senior vice president swing states Pew Research One thing political scientist Emory University young people undecided New Hampshire presidential candidate Pew Research Center Alan Abramowitz pins and needles hurricane conservative Wall Street Journal Colorado so close New York Mayor Larry Sabato provisional ballots diametrically opposed Wisconsin latinos unemployment rate Massachusetts governor October surprise circuit breaker Ronald Reagan running mate foreign policy approval ratings roller coaster Public Opinion Marist CollegePeople:
President Obama
Overall Sentiment: 0
Relevance: 0.884123
Disambiguation: Politician | President | Appointer | AwardWinner | Celebrity | PoliticalAppointer | U.S.Congressperson | USPresident | TVActorReferences:
Mitt Romney
Overall Sentiment: -0.0665871
Relevance: 0.847626
| Sentiment | Quote |
|---|---|
| 0 | Romney saying that 47 percent of Americans "will vote for the president no matter what," ... |
| -0.0779534 | Romney saying that 47 percent of Americans "will vote for the president no matter what," are "dependent upon government, who believe they are victims" |
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Alan Abramowitz
Overall Sentiment: 0.0589797
Relevance: 0.26136
| Sentiment | Quote |
|---|---|
| 0 | "This was kind of an October surprise," says Alan Abramowitz, ... |
| 0.0202276 | "This was kind of an October surprise," says Alan Abramowitz, a political scientist at Emory University. "It gave the president an opportunity to act presidential, to act like a commander in chief." |
| 0 | Abramowitz at Emory University has developed a model for predicting elections, which he calls the "time for change" ... |
| -0.372893 | he says, "voters are reluctant to change parties after only one term. When you get to second term or later, they're more willing to make that change." |
| 0.130124 | "The advantage of incumbency has gotten smaller, because voters are less willing to cross party lines now," he says. ... |
| 0.229906 | "The advantage of incumbency has gotten smaller, because voters are less willing to cross party lines now," he says. "So when there's a Democratic president like now, Republicans are less willing to cross party lines to vote for him. As a result, the advantage is about half what it used to be." |
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Larry Sabato
Overall Sentiment: 0.117638
Relevance: 0.212003
| Sentiment | Quote |
|---|---|
| 0 | "roller coaster ride," Sabato says. ... |
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Kohut
Overall Sentiment: 0.206486
Relevance: 0.211506
| Sentiment | Quote |
|---|---|
| 0.298253 | "People are conflicted, especially swing voters and moderate voters," Kohut says. ... |
| 0.157599 | "People are conflicted, especially swing voters and moderate voters," Kohut says. "They look at Obama and say, 'He's underperformed.' And they look at Romney and say, 'We don't trust him and we don't know if he's for us.' " |
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Dennis Goldford
Overall Sentiment: -0.0322223
Relevance: 0.19999
| Sentiment | Quote |
|---|---|
| -0.233477 | "But from what we've seen this time around, there isn't that big chunk of undecided voters almost anywhere to be able to make that massive move at the end," says Dennis Goldford, ... |
| -0.217979 | "But from what we've seen this time around, there isn't that big chunk of undecided voters almost anywhere to be able to make that massive move at the end," says Dennis Goldford, a political scientist at Drake University. "On the other hand, if the election is really close, even a feather on the scale can make a difference." |
| 0 | Goldford says, "this past four years will seem like a picnic compared to the next four years." |
| 0.181191 | "One thing I hope more than anything else," he says, ... |
| 0.129816 | "One thing I hope more than anything else," he says, "is that this is actually over on Tuesday night." |
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George W. Bush
Overall Sentiment: -0.140602
Relevance: 0.195861
Disambiguation: FilmCharacter | MusicalArtist | Politician | President | Appointer | AwardNominee | AwardWinner | ChivalricOrderMember | CompanyFounder | MilitaryPerson | PoliticalAppointer | USPresident | FilmActor | TVActorReferences:
Terry Branstad
Overall Sentiment: -0.0215403
Relevance: 0.163649
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Joe Biden
Overall Sentiment: 0
Relevance: 0.162657
Disambiguation: Politician | Celebrity | CompanyFounder | FootballPlayer | OperaCharacter | PoliticalAppointer | U.S.Congressperson | USVicePresidentReferences:
Ronald Reagan
Overall Sentiment: 0.0822225
Relevance: 0.161816
Disambiguation: Politician | President | AwardWinner | ChivalricOrderMember | MilitaryPerson | PoliticalAppointer | USPresident | FilmActor | TVActorReferences:
Al Gore
Overall Sentiment: 0.529555
Relevance: 0.159533
Disambiguation: Politician | AwardWinner | BoardMember | Celebrity | CompanyAdvisor | CompanyFounder | FilmProducer | MilitaryPerson | OfficeHolder | PoliticalAppointer | TVPersonality | U.S.Congressperson | USVicePresident | FilmActor | TVActorReferences:
Lee Miringoff
Overall Sentiment: 0.266039
Relevance: 0.152955
| Sentiment | Quote |
|---|---|
| 0 | "So, in a sense, Romney is playing more for an inside straight," Miringoff says. ... |
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Gov. Chris Christie
Overall Sentiment: 0.6195
Relevance: 0.14773
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Key:
- Aggregate Sentiment is meant to be an indicator of an individual's overall sentiment.
- The Mean is meant to be an indicator of an individual's average comment sentiment.
- The Standard Deviation, when there are enough quotes, will indicate an individual's consistency of sentiment (i.e. a Standard Deviation of 0 would mean they were very consistent in their sentiment and 1 would mean they were very inconsistent).
Note that quote stats are likely to be meaningless beyond the aggregate score due to the tiny sample size. However, they are always provided just in case you find something useful there.
Additional Info:
StateOrCounty: Ohio
Overall Sentiment: -0.188016
Relevance: 0.316218
Disambiguation: Location | PoliticalDistrict | AdministrativeDivision | GovernmentalJurisdiction | USStateReferences:
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Voters To Settle Tight And Turbulent Presidential Battle
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Americans go to the polls today to choose the winner of the long, expensive and bitter race between President Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. The outcome is expected to be determined by a handful of battleground states, and perhaps only one.
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